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U.S. Equity Leading Indicators

Investor emotion and random events can drive equity markets in the short term. Longer-term, equity markets tend to be driven by fundamentals and earnings growth. The Quant Pack's U.S. Equity Leading Indicators provide a 12-month S&P 500 earnings forecast and a data-driven fair value estimate for the S&P 500.

  • 12-month forecast of year-over-year S&P 500 earnings growth

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  • Leading Indicator based on a composite of 15 macro inputs that exhibit a high statistical correlation with future S&P 500 earnings growth.

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  • The indicator (1) provides a 12-month view on the direction of earnings and (2) informs portfolio positioning across sectors and asset classes.​

S&P 500 Earnings Leading Indicator
Leads Actual Results by 12 Months

MarketDesk Quant Pack U.S. Earnings Leading Indicator
  • Real-time price target model for the S&P 500 

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  • Two fair value frameworks: (1) equity risk premium and (2) cost of capital analysis. 

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  • The price target model (1) provides a fair value estimate for the S&P 500, (2) calculates the implied level of upside or downside from current levels, and (3) informs stock and bond asset allocation decisions.​

S&P 500 Real-Time Price Target Indicator
Implied Upside/Downside from Current Levels

MarketDesk Quant Pack S&P 500 Price Target

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QuantPack.com is wholly-owned by MarketDesk Research, LLC ("MDR"). MDR has an affiliated registered investment adviser, which serves as the sub-adviser to an exchange traded fund. This affiliated investment adviser does not provide advice to individual investors. MDR provides “impersonal advisory services” to its subscribers, defined as services that do not purport to meet the objectives or needs of specific clients, and statistical information containing no expression of opinions as to the investment merits of particular securities. Investors should consult with their own financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

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